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Category Archives: Newsletter

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Sticks and stones – Austal Limited (ASD)

Posted on by Kim Slater

It’s the stuff Hollywood movies are made of – usually starring a short good looking religious nutter named Tom. A tense Machiavellian plot involving competing super powers, playing out with big bang special effects in a cinema near you. This … Continue reading

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Viva Energy Group (VEA)

Posted on by Kim Slater

Missing perhaps was a high kicking chorus line singing Viva Las Vegas. Because yesterday’s performance from Viva Energy had shareholders stomping in the bleachers for extended encores. CEO Scot Wyatt isn’t remotely an Elvis impersonator. But the show he produced … Continue reading

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Kogan.com Ltd (KGN)

Posted on by Kim Slater

Persuasion comes in many forms. Words are the anvil on which action is struck. And if that action is conflict and drama then it shapes human lexicon. BLM, iso and pivot are words and phrases taken on new meaning, particularly … Continue reading

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A breakout for FMG?

Posted on by Kim Slater

It’s a breakout. Not an orange suited prisoner, barbed wired, bullets whizzing, breakout. But a share price breakout trumpeting further paradigm portfolio investment shifts. Yield hunt is the leash straining, point sniffer dog. And criss cross spotlight pinpointing is on … Continue reading

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Tell ’em the price, son

Posted on by Kim Slater

Curmudgeonly value investors went “yeah, nah” when the then online electronics retailer, Kogan, listed in 2016. Headed by mercurial Russian émigré Ruslan Kogan, the $1.80 stock, debuted with a market cap of $160 million and staggering P/E of 67 times … Continue reading

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Amazonstan

Posted on by Kim Slater

Amazonstan – a small but influential, imaginary, sovereignty with stellar revenue growth, the envy of developed Western economies. A quixotic dream. The Jeff Bezos headed company has a valuation equivalent of almost $USD1.3 trillion, equal to the GDP of a … Continue reading

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Game of chicken – Qantas

Posted on by Kim Slater

The biggest game of chicken is playing out right now. It’s uncertain who blinks first. But there is much steely-eyed glaring because at stake is Australia’s tourism industry which ranks in the top 5 of our GDP producers. The three … Continue reading

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Elephant in a china shop

Posted on by Kim Slater

The elephant in the china shop, mixing destructive metaphors, is how our banks survive the covid induced economic crisis. How much of the combined $2.7 trillion loan books, to the point, get written off? And what does it mean for … Continue reading

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EML – relative value

Posted on by Kim Slater

The fish Tom hooked has been resized. And the charm of a deal, like fishing, is that it is the pursuit of what is elusive, but attainable, a perpetual series of occasions of hope. Which is exactly what EML’s CEO … Continue reading

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Now this is not the end…

Posted on by Kim Slater

The vultures are on the hunt. And barbarians are at the gate. The unseemly side of capitalism, private equity is on the march to buy distressed assets – particularly those with Covid-19 impaired balance sheets. And the rescue/ransom price is … Continue reading

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